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The pricing of assets — and hence the allocation of
investment — is central to macroeconomics. Shell's papers with
Stiglitz and Caton show how the apparent plethora of perfect-foresight
equilibria is substantially reduced by boundary conditions arising from
the non-negativity of prices. Shell's paper with Sidrauski and
Stiglitz shows how different "money models" can be from "real
models." Boundary conditions do rule out hyper-deflation, but they
do not rule out hyperinflation. For this reason, multiplicity
of equilibrium trajectories is more likely in monetary economics.
Perfect-foresight economies generate perturbed Hamiltonian dynamical
systems. Shell's work with Cass on Hamiltonian dynamics is in part an
outgrowth of his work with Stiglitz and Sidrauski. Cass and Shell
showed how the geometry of the Hamiltonian function generating the perturbed
Hamiltonian dynamical system determines the long-run development of
the economy. Recently, Conraria and Shell have extended the analysis of Shell-Stiglitz to OG economies with a focus on bursting bubbles.
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"The
Allocation of Investment in a Dynamic Economy" (with Joseph
E. Stiglitz) Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 81(325),
November 1967, 592-609.
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"Capital
Gains, Income, and Saving" (with Miguel Sidrauski and Joseph
E. Stiglitz), The Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 36(1)
No. 105, January 1969, 15-26.
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"Applications
of Pontryagin's Maximum Principle to Economics" in Mathematical
Systems Theory and Economics, I (H.W. Kuhn and G.P. Szegö, eds.),
Berlin: Springer Verlag, 1969, 241-292. (The "Varenna Lectures.")
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"Public
Debt, Taxation, and Capital Intensiveness" (with Edmund
S. Phelps), Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 1(3), October
1969, 330-346. See also "Erratum," Journal of Economic
Theory, Vol. 2(2), June 1970, 209. Reprinted in Studies in
Macroeconomic Theory, Vol. 2, Redistribution and Growth (E.S.
Phelps, ed.), New York: Academic Press, 1980, 24-45.
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"An
Exercise in the Theory of Heterogeneous Capital Accumulation" (with Christopher Caton), The Review of Economic Studies,
Vol. 37(1), No. 113, January 1971, 13-22.
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"On
Competitive Dynamical Systems" in Differential Games
and Related Topics (H.W. Kuhn and G.P. Szegö, eds.), Amsterdam:
North-Holland , 1972, 449-476.
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"Neoclassical
Growth Models" in Modern Economic Thought (S. Weintraub,
ed.), Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1976, 347-367.
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The
Hamiltonian Approach to Dynamic Economics (Editor with David
Cass), New York: Academic Press, 1976. ISBN: 012163650X.
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"Introduction
to Hamiltonian Dynamics in Economics" (with David Cass), Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 12(1), February 1976, 1-10.
Reprinted as Essay I in The Hamiltonian Approach to Dynamic Economics (D. Cass and K. Shell, eds.), New York: Academic Press, 1976, 1-10.
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"The
Structure and Stability of Competitive Dynamical Systems" (with David Cass), Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 12(1),
February 1976, 31-70. Reprinted as Essay III in The Hamiltonian
Approach to Dynamic Economics (D. Cass and K. Shell, eds.), New
York: Academic Press, 1976, 31-70.
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"Hamiltonians" in The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics (J. Eatwell,
M. Milgate and P. Newman, eds.), Vol. 2, New York: Macmillan, 1987,
588-590.
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"Growth Dynamics and Returns to Scale: A Bifurcation Analysis" (with Gaetano
Antinolfi and Todd Keister), Journal of Economic Theory, (doi:10.1006/jeth.1999.2632), Vol. 96(1), January 2001, 70-96.
- "Capital Gains: Blue Machines and Red Machines" (with Luís Francisco Aguiar-Conraria), Singapore Economic Review, Vol. 50 (Special Issue No.1), 2005, 437-448.
- "Capital Gains" (with Luís Francisco Aguiar-Conraria), International Journal of Economic Theory, (doi:10.1111/j.1742-7363.2006.0039.x), Vol. 2(3-4), September/December 2006, 331-349.
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